E-Man, basically agree with your post. Believe, however, if we show some offensive improvement and play with some enthusiasm, passion at NC State, we could see around 25,000 or so for the Kent State game. Depending, however, that we don't see another Huntington September imitation of Asian monsoon weather on the 16th.
Kent State looked horrendous, even though they were playing the defending National Champs. All indications are that their head coach is a "dead man walking". Game should be the closest thing to a "sure win" going in for the Herd all season.
As for the Big Picture, as long as Hamrick remains aloof, arrogant, and impervious to Herd fans' concerns, complaints, etc., NOTHING will change. We could go 6-6, 7-5, etc., beating mainly the weak sisters on the schedule, and Hammy will smugly contend that Doc has Herd football going full throttle and that his, Hamrick's, approach was right all along.
Key game to watch not involving the Herd to me will be when Cincy goes to Miami in a couple of weeks. Will be an indication of how good, or bad, both Miami and Cincy are this season. And may be a good barometer of just how good a chance the Herd has for a W in Cincy at the end of the month. That, to me, is the next KEY game on this year's schedule.